- [2018] Skin in the Game: hidden asymmetries in daily life. Random House, 2018 [summary]
- [2012] The Black Swan: the impact of the highly improbable. Random House, 2012
- [2012] Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder. Random House. 2012 [summary].
- [2010] The Black Swan: the impact of the highly improbable. Penguin, 2010
- [2010] The Bed of Procrustes: philosophical and practical aphorisms. Random House, 2010
- [2009] Lecturing Birds on Flying: can mathematical theories destroy the financial markets?. Wiley, 2009 (Triana, Pablo / Taleb, Nassim Nicholas)
- [2007] The Black Swan: the impact of the highly improbable. Random House, 2007
- [2004] The Black Swan: why don't we learn that we don't learn?" Unpublished manuscript, 2004
- [2001] Fooled by Randomness: the hidden role of chance in life and in the markets. Random House 2001
Kairos documents referencing any of the above
[2018]:
Systematic Humanitarian Blackmail via Aquarius? [
Refs]
[2018]:
Oppositional Logic as Comprehensible Key to Sustainable Democracy [
Refs]
[2018]:
Infertility as a Metaphor Heralding Global Collapse [
Refs]
[2018]:
Imminent Collective Communication Info-death? [
Refs]
[2018]:
Global Governance as a Riddle [
Refs]
[2018]:
Earth as a Shithole Planet -- from a Universal Perspective? ? [
Refs]
[2018]:
Earth as a Shithole Planet -- from a Universal Perspective? ? [
Refs]
[2018]:
Coordination of Wing Deployment and Folding in Politics [
Refs]
[2018]:
Cognitive Embodiment of Nature Re-cognized Systemically [
Refs]
[2017]:
Paradoxes of Wilbers Appreciation of the Trump Challenge [
Refs]
[2017]:
Framing Global Transformation through the Polyhedral Merkabah [
Refs]
[2017]:
Cognitive Osmosis in a Knowledge-based Civilization [
Refs]
[2017]:
64 Questions for the Environmental Conservationists of the World [
Refs]
[2016]:
Radical Innovators Beware -- in the arts, sciences and philosophy [
Refs]
[2016]:
Radical Disaffection Engendered by Elitist Groupthink? [
Refs]
[2016]:
Global Incomprehension of Increasing Violence [
Refs]
[2016]:
Global Challenge of the Global Challenge [
Refs]
[2016]:
Existential Challenge of Detecting Todays Big Lie [
Refs]
[2016]:
Engaging Proactively with the Risk of World Misleadership [
Refs]
[2016]:
Disastrous Floods as Indicators of Systemic Risk Neglect [
Refs]
[2016]:
Destabilizing Multipolar Society through Binary Decision-making [
Refs]
[2015]:
Weather Metaphors as Whether Metaphors [
Refs]
[2015]:
Radicalisation of Existence and Identity [
Refs]
[2015]:
Future Conference Organization as a Wicked Problem? [
Refs]
[2015]:
Enhancing Strategic Discourse Systematically using Climate Metaphors [
Refs]
[2015]:
Embodying Strategic Self-reference in a World Futures Conference [
Refs]
[2015]:
Correlating a Requisite Diversity of Metaphorical Patterns [
Refs]
[2015]:
Changing Patterns using Transformation Pathway [
Refs]
[2014]:
Transcending an Asystemic View of Life [
Refs]
[2014]:
Systemic Equivalences between Ebola, Alien Invasion and Dissidence [
Refs]
[2014]:
Resource Insights from Plus or Minus 12 People on a Liferaft [
Refs]
[2014]:
Reimagining Teslas Creativity through Technomimicry [
Refs]
[2014]:
Quantum Wampum Essential to Navigating Ragnarok [
Refs]
[2014]:
Now as the Ultimate Cognitive Strange Attractor [
Refs]
[2014]:
Metascience Enabling Upgrades to the Scientific Process [
Refs]
[2014]:
Flowering of Civilization -- Deflowering of Culture [
Refs]
[2014]:
Eradication as the Strategic Final Solution of the 21st Century? [
Refs]
[2014]:
Engaging with Insight of a Higher Order [
Refs]
[2014]:
Embodying a Hypercomplex of Unhygienic Nescience [
Refs]
[2014]:
Correspondences between Traditional Constellations and Pattern Languages [
Refs]
[2014]:
Comprehension of Numbers Challenging Global Civilization [
Refs]
[2014]:
Challenges More Difficult for Science than Going to Mars [
Refs]
[2013]:
Would Jesus Now be Prosecuted by US? [
Refs]
[2013]:
University of Ignorance [
Refs]
[2013]:
Transforming from Paranoia through Metanoia and Hyponoia? [
Refs]
[2013]:
Systematic Gerrymandering of Declared Threats and Legality of Response [
Refs]
[2013]:
Strategic Implications of 12 Unasked Questions in Response to Disaster [
Refs]
[2013]:
Psychosocial Implication in Gamma Animation [
Refs]
[2013]:
Playing the Great Game with Intelligence [
Refs]
[2013]:
Internyet Nescience ? [
Refs]
[2013]:
Imagining Attractive Global Governance [
Refs]
[2013]:
Going Nowhere through Not-knowing Where to Go [
Refs]
[2013]:
Flatulence is a Problem Aired: Resmelling the stench of past undertakings [
Refs]
[2013]:
Eliciting a Universe of Meaning [
Refs]
[2013]:
Being Neither a-Waving Nor a-Parting [
Refs]
[2013]:
Affinity, Diaspora, Identity, Reunification, Return [
Refs]
[2013]:
"Big Brother" Crying "Wolf"? [
Refs]
[2012]:
Unthought as Cognitive Foundation of Global Civilization [
Refs]
[2012]:
Knowledge Processes Neglected by Science [
Refs]
[2012]:
In Quest of a Dynamic Pattern of Transformations [
Refs]
[2012]:
Eightfold Configuration of Nested Cycles of Cognitive Transformations [
Refs]
[2012]:
Beware of Legality, Accountability, Marketability, Security! [
Refs]
[2012]:
AWOL: American Way Of Life: Assumptions -- justifying worldwide imposition of democratic imperialism [
Refs]
[2011]:
Ungovernability of Sustainable Global Democracy? [
Refs]
[2011]:
Tomorrow, Who Will Govern the World?: Review [
Refs]
[2011]:
Strategic Complexity -- Attracting Consensus [
Refs]
[2011]:
Monkeying with Global Governance [
Refs]
[2011]:
Mind Map of Global Civilizational Collapse [
Refs]
[2011]:
Mapping Paralysis and Tokenism in the Face of Potential Global Disaster [
Refs]
[2011]:
Map of Systemic Interdependencies None Dares Name [
Refs]
[2011]:
Living as an Imaginal Bridge between Worlds [
Refs]
[2011]:
Humanitarian Disaster or Act of God -- Dangerous Implication in Practice? [
Refs]
[2011]:
Gruesome but Necessary: Global governance in the 21st Century? [
Refs]
[2011]:
En-joying the World through En-joying Oneself [
Refs]
[2011]:
Embodiment of Change: Comprehension, Traction and Impact? [
Refs]
[2011]:
Anticipating Future Strategic Triple Whammies [
Refs]
[2011]:
¿ Higher Education ∞ Meta-education ? [
Refs]
[2010]:
Transcending One-eyed Global Modelling Perspectives [
Refs]
[2010]:
Superquestions for Supercomputers [
Refs]
[2010]:
Missing the New Renaissance? [
Refs]
[2010]:
From Changing the Strategic Game to Changing the Strategic Frame [
Refs]
[2010]:
Epistemological Panic in the face of Nonduality [
Refs]
[2010]:
Engaging with the Inexplicable, the Incomprehensible and the Unexpected [
Refs]
[2010]:
Enacting Transformative Integral Thinking through Playful Elegance [
Refs]
[2010]:
Cognitive Implications of Lifestyle Diseases of Rich and Poor [
Refs]
[2009]:
Viable Global Governance through Bullfighting: Challenge of transcendence [
Refs]
[2009]:
United Nations Overpopulation Denial Conference [
Refs]
[2009]:
Remedies to Global Crisis: "Allopathic" or "Homeopathic"? [
Refs]
[2009]:
Entangled Tales of Memetic Disaster [
Refs]
[2009]:
Enabling Strategies for Viable Futures [
Refs]
[2009]:
Emerging Memetic Singularity in the Global Knowledge Society [
Refs]
[2009]:
Abuse of Faith in Governance: Mystery of the Unasked Question [
Refs]
[2008]:
Unknown Undoing: challenge of incomprehensibility of systemic neglect [
Refs]
[2008]:
Systemic Crises as Keys to Systemic Remedies: a metaphorical Rosetta Stone for future strategy? [
Refs]
[2008]:
Systemic Crises as Keys to Systemic Remedies: a metaphorical Rosetta Stone for future strategy? [
Refs]
[2008]:
Self-reflective Embodiment of Transdisciplinary Integration (SETI): the universal criteria of species maturity? [
Refs]
[2008]:
Memetic and Information Diseases in a Knowledge Society: speculations towards the development of cures and preventive measures [
Refs]
[2008]:
Irresponsible Dependence on a Flat Earth Mentality -- in response to global governance challenges [
Refs]
[2008]:
Governing Civilization through Civilizing Governance: global challenge for a turbulent future [
Refs]
[2008]:
Geo-engineering Oversight Agency for Thermal Stabilization (GOATS) [
Refs]
[2008]:
Embodying Values Dynamically through Alternation: Integrating sets of polarized static values through indicative metaphor [
Refs]
[2008]:
Climate Change and the Elephant in the Living Room [
Refs]
[2008]:
Celebrating the Value of Deadly Problems Worldwide [
Refs]
[2008]:
Being What You Want: problematic kataphatic identity vs. potential of apophatic identity? [
Refs]
[2008]:
An Inconvenient Truth about any Inconvenient Truth [
Refs]
[2007]:
From ECHELON to NOLEHCE: enabling a strategic conversion to a faith-based global brain [
Refs]
[2007]:
Emergence of a Global Misleadership Council: misleading as vital to governance of the future? [
Refs]
[2007]:
Challenge of Nonviolent Population Decimation: Reducing effects of overpopulation on resources and climate change by major reduction in the height of people [
Refs]