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Transcending hope-mongering versus doom-mongering?


Indicators of Political Will, Remedial and Coping Capacity? (Part #9)


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Optimistic statements regarding the illusion of remedial capacity and political are now especially dangerous in obscuring the reality which few dare to articulate. Whilst doom-mongering is itself unproductive, hope-mongering is dangerous in its own right (Varieties of hope-mongering, 2008; Doom-mongering and hope-mongering, 2015). The following mind maps are exercises in encompassing dimensions which are typically ignored, if not deliberately so.

Exploratory mind maps interrelating controversial systemic preoccupations
Systemic relationships framing "Refugees per Kiloton" Relating hope-mongering/doom-mongering to known/unknowns
Indication of systemic relationships framing Refugees per Kiloton Systemic map relating hope-mongering/doom-mongering to known/unknowns
From Refugees Per Kiloton (RPK) as a missing indicator? (2016) From International Community as God or Sorcerer's Apprentice? (2015)

The dimensions of these systemic maps arguably frame the space from which so-called Black Swan surprises emerge, as argued by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (The Black Swan: the impact of the highly improbable, 2007). The fourfold distinctions relating known and unknown were widely (and controversially) publicized by Donald Rumsfeld as US Secretary of Defense in 2002. The pattern of categories has become important to risk assessment. As being that which we intentionally refuse to acknowledge that we know, the unknown known has been emphasized by psychoanalytic philosopher Slavoj Zizek (Living in the End Times, 2010). Implications of that fourfold pattern are discussed separately (Requisite confusion to engender an elusive functional literacy? 2013). The implications of such a pattern can be further explored in terms of "real versus imaginary" in the case of the problematique, resolutique, "imaginatique" and "irresolutique" (Imagining the Real Challenge and Realizing the Imaginal Pathway of Sustainable Transformation, 2007).

Such representations could be enhanced by integrating current challenges with regard to information itself (Varieties of Fake News and Misrepresentation, 2019; Vital Collective Learning from Biased Media Coverage: acquiring vigilance to deceptive strategies used in mugging the world, 2014). Such mapping can be envisaged from another perspective (Map of Systemic Interdependencies None Dares Name: 12-fold challenge of global life and death, 2011).

Use of mind maps of that kind can be extended to encompass the notion of collapse, as presented separately in 2D and 3D (Mind Map of Global Civilizational Collapse: why nothing is happening in response to global challenges, 2011; Convergence of 30 Disabling Global Trends: mapping the social climate change engendering a perfect storm, 2012). Complementary approaches may be taken in the quest for "enabling maps" (Framing Cognitive Space for Higher Order Coherence, 2019; Time for Provocative Mnemonic Aids to Systemic Connectivity? 2019). The latter notably addresses the challenge of reframing "hope-mongering versus doom-mongering" as one of reconciling the "headless hearts" and the "heartless heads" -- recognized as another pattern underminging effective insight, most obviously with respect to migration.

Part of the difficulty is evident in disparate current articulation of global strategy in patterns with little attention to their reconciliation or comprehension, as discussed separately (Global Coherence by Interrelating Disparate Strategic Patterns Dynamically: topological interweaving of 4-fold, 8-fold, 12-fold, 16-fold and 20-fold in 3D, 2019). A further difficulty is evident in the relation of knowledge to action and inaction (Unknown Undoing: challenge of incomprehensibility of systemic neglect, 2008).


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