Conformality of global modelling to cognitive appreciation of crises?

Misleading Modelling of Global Crises (Part #9)

It is curious to note the manner in which a very evident crisis -- a hurricane -- is used as a meaningful metaphor to describe other crises, as in the case of financial disasters. For example, there were some 10,000 web references to "financial hurricane", 8,000 to "financial maelstrom", 90 to "financial cyclone", some 40,000 to "financial tsunami" in October 2008 (Larry Elliot, Surviving the hurricane, The Guardian, 10 October 2008; Carter Dougherty, Global plan sought to quell maelstrom, International Herald Tribune, 11 October 2008).

At the time this suggested the possibility that metaphors from nature offered an unexpected set of resources of relevance to modelling of crises (Systemic Crises as Keys to Systemic Remedies: a metaphorical Rosetta Stone for future strategy? 2008), framed in the following terms:

Systemic crises
Dangerous neglect of underlying patterns
Metaphorical descriptions of systems
Interplay of metaphors in strategic discourse
Systemic insights to be derived from the financial system crisis: an example
Systemic challenge: opportunities (hopes) vs threats (fears)
Self-reflexivity in systems representation

Interplay of metaphors as an integrative system of correspondences
Cross-system strategic "puzzles": enabling a different form of connectivity
Credibility
Modelling credibility crises of the future
Archetypal hope-mongering
Avoidance of responsibility

Given widespread familiarity with the patterns of nature, there is the possibility that the weather may offer an unexpected means of engaging with the complexity which it is to be expected that modelling would encompass (Enabling Governance through the Dynamics of Nature: exemplified by cognitive implication of vortices and helicoidal flow, 2010; Weather Metaphors as Whether Metaphors, 2015). That possibility could prove to be consistent with the triple, quadruple and quintuple helical forms noted above (Psychosocial Learnings from the Spiral Form of Hurricanes: implications of the triple helix and the 3-fold triskelion as "cognitive cyclones"? 2017)

Achieving perspective on a vortex through triadic framing
Contrasting the implications of "triple helix" -- cognitive and otherwise
Systemic closure: fourth helix -- and beyond?
Relevance of any helical model to global governance?

Reconciling triskelion and triple helix: a topological transformation
Suggestive representation of dynamics of a "cognitive wormhole" associated with a quintuple helix
Attribution of significance: considering meaningful pattern mapping
From global weather patterns to global whether patterns?

The question is whether the conception and design of global models should "conform" in some way to the helical forms through which they are framed in nature. This contrasts with other approaches to any mind map of potential civilizational collapse (Mind Map of Global Civilizational Collapse: why nothing is happening in response to global challenges, 2010). The spiralling characteristic recognized -- if only experientially -- in crises of crises -- then suggests depictions such as the following in anticipation of any "perfect storm", reproduced from a detailed discussion with related animations (Convergence of 30 Disabling Global Trends: mapping the social climate change engendering a perfect storm, 2012).

Representation of trends engendering together a hurricane-like vortex into which society is drawn or from which it might escape
Mutual reinforcement of a system of 30 disabling global trends	Mutual reinforcement of a system of 30 enabling global trends

Reproduced from Convergence of 30 Disabling Global Trends (2012)

The case for conformality, as a means of bridging between contrasting modes of discourse in relation to global modelling, is most fruitfully made in the much-cited study by Gareth Morgan (Images of Organization, 1986). This offers the following frameworks through which organizations can be perceived: machines, organisms, brains, cultures, political systems, psychic prisons, flux and transformation, and instruments of domination.

Through how many such images can the organization of a crisis of crises be perceived, as discussed separately (Interrelating Multiple Ways of Looking at a Crisis: beyond the pandemic discipline of the one right way, 2021). Arguably global modelling is faced with a "cyclopean" challenge (Transcending One-eyed Global Modelling Perspectives: incorporating under-currents into global circulation of value, 2010; Cyclopean Vision vs Poly-sensual Engagement, 2006).

Another approach to the case for conformality is the sense in which every distinctive global crisis can be understood as a distinctive "question" to global civilization. With the quest for a remedial response then to be understood as an "answer", the relation can be explored in terms of the conformality of question to answer, as explored separately in the light of catastrophe theory (Conformality of 7 WH-questions to 7 Elementary Catastrophes: an exploration of potential psychosocial implications, 2006). Can global crises be usefully categorized in terms of the mathematics of elementary catastrophes?

The quest for an elusive remedial response to a complex crisis has a tendency to be framed through the metaphor of the quest for the Holy Grail (Trust: Holy Grail of Governance?; Confidence: Holy Grail of Finance? 2011). That metaphor -- as indicative of the ultimate global model -- can be speculatively explored in relation to the topological form of a catastrophe (Interrelating Cognitive Catastrophes in a Grail-chalice Proto-model, 2006; In-forming the Chalice as an Integrative Cognitive Dynamic: sustaining the Holy Grail of global governance, 2011).